These information are entered to the Estimation and Projection Deal (EPP) program which inserts a straightforward epidemiological model towards the epidemic composition described. EPP finds the most beneficial fitting curve that describes the evolution of adult HIV prevalence with time, and calibrates that curve determined by prevalence found in any national surveys or default values in case there is absolutely no national survey obtainable. For nations around the world with little readily available prevalence information (a lot less than a few consistent surveillance websites) some extent prevalence estimate and projection is made making use of spreadsheet types (the Workbook System). The resulting issue prevalence estimates for a number of years are entered into EPP to discover the best fitting curve that describes the evolution of adult HIV prevalence after some time.
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